Claim: The US and Iran agreed to a nuclear deal roadmap, with Iran inviting IAEA inspectors back in

The claim that the US and Iran agreed to a nuclear deal roadmap is mixed. Supporters include various analyses of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) that highlight ongoing negotiations and Iran's willingness to cooperate with IAEA inspections. However, some sources dispute this, noting that while there have been discussions, no formal agreement has been confirmed as of now, and the situation remains fluid. The context of the negotiations is complex, with many restrictions having expired, leading to uncertainty about the current status of any agreements. The models diverge sharply — treat this as higher-uncertainty. OpenAI comes in highest (60%), while Gemini is lowest (15%). Gemini expresses higher confidence than OpenAI on this claim. There are conflicting reports regarding the current state of US-Iran negotiations. While some sources suggest that a roadmap has been agreed upon, others indicate that the negotiations are still ongoing without a definitive conclusion. The lack of authoritative confirmation from primary sources raises doubts about the claim. Additionally, the historical context of the JCPOA and its expiration complicates the interpretation of any new agreements, making it difficult to ascertain the veracity of the claim without further evidence.