Claim: is it true that in roswell, the government is hiding a UFO crash?

First requested: February 1, 2025 at 8:23 AM
Last updated: April 8, 2026 at 9:13 AM
18%

IsItCap Score

Truth Potential Meter

Not Credible

AI consensusWeak

Grader consensus is weak.
Range 15%–50% (spread Δ35).
The graders diverge. Treat the combined score as uncertain and read the sources carefully.
Read analysis summary

OpenAI Grade

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21%

Perplexity Grade

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15%

Google Gemini Grade

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Analysis Summary

Based on our comprehensive analysis, the claim that the government is hiding a UFO crash in Roswell is largely unsubstantiated. Key grades indicate low credibility for the claim itself, with high scores for source credibility and expert consensus aligning against it. Mainstream sources, such as HistoryExtra and Wikipedia, emphasize that the incident was likely a top-secret balloon experiment, Project Mogul, which was misinterpreted as a UFO. Conflicting sources, like YouTube videos and certain books, propose alternative theories but fail to provide concrete evidence.

The evidence supporting this conclusion includes official reports and investigations, such as the 1994 US Congress investigation, which concluded that the debris was part of Project Mogul. These findings are consistent across reliable sources, including the FBIs records and the USAFs…

Source Analysis

Mainstream Sources

Publication

Title

The Roswell incident: Did the US Government cover up an alien crash in 1947?

Summary

Source details

Publication

Title

Roswell UFO Incident

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Source details

Publication

Title

FBI Records: The Vault — Roswell UFO

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Source details

Alternative Sources

Publication

Title

Roswell UFO Crash: Shocking New Evidence | UFO Hunters (S2, E5)

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Source details

Publication

Title

The Roswell Incident by Charles Berlitz and William Moore

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Source details

Publication

Title

No Aliens Visit Earth, But The Government Covers Up Anyway

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Source details

Analysis Breakdown

How to read the breakdown

  • Truth: how well sources support the core claim.
  • Source reliability: whether the sources have a strong track record.
  • Independence: whether coverage looks one-sided or recycled.
  • Context: missing details (timeframe, definitions, scope) that change meaning.
  • Tip: if graders disagree, rely more on the summary + sources than the single number.

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Methodology