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cfr.org
The U.S. Economy Was Shaky Before the Iran War. Now It's in Real Trouble. | Council on Foreign Relations
Importantly, the supply shocks stemming from the conflict have only begun to trickle through the economy. With inflation already up from 2.4 percent in February, next month’s figures are expected to be higher still. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, a grouping of mostly wealthy nations, recently warned that inflation in 2026 could reach as high as 4.2 percent.
cnn.com
How the Middle East war could spark a recession | CNN Business
<strong>Economists warn that the war has increased the risk of a recession.</strong> And the longer the crisis lasts, the greater the danger to an economy that already looked vulnerable before the chaos in the Middle East.
nytimes.com
U.S. Economy Grew 2 Percent in Early 2026 Even as War in Iran Began to Hit Energy Prices - The New York Times
The data on gross domestic product from the Commerce Department offered the first official snapshot of how the U.S. economy is broadly faring since the oil shock from war with Iran began to work its way through prices and business decisions. Because G.D.P. is adjusted for inflation, rising fuel costs dampened growth somewhat.
hbr.org
Will the Iran War Deliver a Long-Predicted U.S. Recession?
It is also a study in false alarms as pundits and analysts have relentlessly predicted an “inevitable recession.” They talked down the Biden economy in 2024 and did the same after President Trump’s tariffs last year, to no avail. Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak is a managing director and partner in BCG’s New York office and the firm’s global chief economist. He is a coauthor of Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk (Harvard Business Review Press, 2024).
businessinsider.com
Is the US Headed for a Recession? Iran War Raises Concerns - Business Insider
<strong>The US isn't guaranteed to enter a recession</strong>, but the Iran war could be a drag on the economy. Loading audio narration... Claudia Sahm, the chief economist for New Century Advisors, said there are renewed concerns of a recession due to the conflict ...
en.wikipedia.org
Economic impact of the 2026 Iran war - Wikipedia
The 2026 Iran war, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has led to what the International Energy Agency has characterized as the "largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market". The conflict has echoed the 1970s energy crisis through acute supply shortages, currency volatility, inflation and heightened risks of stagflation and recession.
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