IsItCap Score
Truth Potential MeterModerately Credible
Moderately Credible
fortune.com
Wall Street knows something about Trump and Iran: Both sides are running out of time | Fortune
Late Sunday evening, Axios reported ... a deal. <strong>A senior White House official told NBC News that a 45-day ceasefire was “one of many things being discussed,” but that President Trump had not signed off on the idea</strong>...
peoplesworld.org
Insider trading on Iran takes war profiteering to a new level – People's World
Now, with Trump continuing to swing back and forth between claims that a ceasefire agreement with Iran is imminent at one moment and pledges to destroy Iranian civilization at the next, there are still plenty of opportunities for those in the know to score windfall profits. Insider trading is as old as the stock market itself, but it can be highly self-damaging to the system.
theguardian.com
Bets on US-Iran ceasefire show signs of insider knowledge, say experts | US news | The Guardian
<strong>Insider knowledge may not be enough to win this particular bet on Polymarket</strong>, as it requires both the US and Iran to agree that a ceasefire has been reached. The rules for settling the bet read: “For the purposes of this market, an ‘official ...
timesofisrael.com
Polymarket bets on US-Iran ceasefire appear to suggest insider trading | The Times of Israel
“Typically, when you see wallet-splitting and deliberate attempts to obfuscate identity, it’s one of two scenarios: either a very large investor trying to shield their position from market impact, or insider trading,” said Yorke. Tracing and identifying the owners of the crypto wallets that laid the bets are challenging because Polymarket accounts are anonymous. A motorist rides past the dummy models of Iranian missiles installed along the roadside at the Valiasr Square, in Tehran, Iran, on March 22, 2026. (AFP) Another account that placed the same bet on the ceasefire also placed winning bets on the US and Israel striking Iran on February 28.
newyorker.com
Who Struck It Rich in the Markets When Trump Postponed Bombing Iran? | The New Yorker
The regulatory agency that has primary responsibility for enforcing the laws in the futures markets is the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (C.F.T.C.). “The thing that should be happening is that the C.F.T.C. should be investigating these trades,” Schiffrin, who is now with Better Markets, a Washington-based public-interest group, said. “They have the authority to subpoena trading records and find the identity of the people who placed the trades. Insider-trading investigations happen all the time, and that’s how they work.”
reuters.com
Iran war live: Trump announces two-week ceasefire as Iran says talks to begin soon | Reuters
Middle EastcategoryIsrael backs Trump's two-week pause on Iran strikes, says Lebanon excluded
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