Claim: Lightning does strike the same place twice - the Empire State Building is hit by lightning around 23 times per year on average

First requested: July 4, 2026 at 1:06 PM
89%

IsItCap Score

Truth Potential Meter

Very Credible

AI consensusMedium

Grader consensus is moderate.
Range 85%–95% (spread Δ10).
The graders lean in the same direction but differ on strength. Skim the summary and sources.
Read analysis summary

OpenAI Grade

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85%

Perplexity Grade

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95%

Google Gemini Grade

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85%
Shareable summary
Verdict: Questionable
  • Some sources report 25 strikes/year, slightly higher than the claimed 23.
  • One source claims 50 strikes in 2015–2020, suggesting higher frequency in recent years.
/r/fact-check-lightning-strike-empire-state-building

Analysis Summary

The claim that the Empire State Building is hit by lightning around 23 times per year is mostly true. Official sources, including NOAA and weather safety organizations, support this figure, emphasizing that tall structures are frequently struck. However, some alternative sources suggest variations in the number of strikes, citing figures between 20 to 25 strikes annually. This slight discrepancy does not significantly undermine the overall accuracy of the claim, as it remains consistent with the general understanding of lightning behavior regarding tall structures. All three graders point in the same direction, with minor differences. Perplexity comes in highest (95%), while OpenAI is lowest (85%). While the majority of sources support the claim that the Empire State Building is struck by lightning approximately 23 times a year, some sources present slightly different figures, ranging from 20 to 25 strikes. These variations may arise from differences in data collection methods or definitions of what constitutes a 'strike.' However, these discrepancies do not fundamentally alter the validity of the claim, as the consensus remains that the building is indeed frequently struck by lightning due to its height and structure.

Source quality

Truth (from sources)8.50 / 10
Source reliability8.00 / 10
Source independence7.00 / 10

Claim checks

Fits established facts8.00 / 10
Logical consistency8.50 / 10
Expert consensus8.00 / 10

Source Analysis

Common arguments
Supporting the claim
  • NOAA and U.S. National Weather Service confirm the Empire State Building averages 23 strikes/year.
  • Official sources state lightning often hits tall, isolated objects repeatedly, debunking the myth.
  • Multiple reputable outlets cite 23 as the standard average, with minor variations like 20–25.
Against the claim
  • Some sources report 25 strikes/year, slightly higher than the claimed 23.
  • One source claims 50 strikes in 2015–2020, suggesting higher frequency in recent years.
  • Another source states 25–100 strikes/year, indicating possible underestimation of 23.

Mainstream Sources

Publication

weather.gov

Title

Lightning Myths and Facts

Summary

Myth: Lightning never strikes the same place twice. Fact: <strong>Lightning often strikes the same place repeatedly, especially if it&#x27;s a tall, pointy, isolated object</strong>. The Empire State Building is hit an average of 23 times a year

Source details

Type: Official
No Date

Publication

architecturaldigest.com

Title

Watch the Empire State Building Being Struck by Lighting | Architectural Digest

Summary

<strong>The iconic New York City skyscraper, which was struck by lightning last night, is hit roughly 23 times per year</strong>

Source details

Publication

svs.gsfc.nasa.gov

Title

NASA Scientific Visualization Studio | Where Does Lightning Strike?

Summary

You’ve probably heard the old ... repeatedly—especially tall, pointy, and isolated objects. <strong>According NOAA, the Empire State Building is hit approximately 23 times a year.</strong>...

Source details

Type: Official
No Date

Alternative Sources

Publication

bgr.com

Title

9 Lightning Myths You Need To Stop Believing (And What's Actually True) - BGR

Summary

Tall, exposed structures made up ... and lighthouses are struck so frequently. <strong>The Empire State Building in New York, for example, is struck around 20 to 25 times each year</strong>....

Source details

Publication

britannica.com

Title

Can Lightning Strike the Same Place Twice? | Britannica

Summary

For instance, famous skyscrapers like the Empire State Building in New York City and the Willis Tower in Chicago are <strong>nearly guaranteed to be struck by lightning each time a thunderstorm passes overhead</strong>—but don’t worry, they have built-in ...

Source details

Publication

accuweather.com

Title

The 5 US skyscrapers that get struck by lightning most often

Summary

As a severe thunderstorm rolled through New York City on June 4, 2021, repeated lightning strikes hit the peak of the tallest building in the Western Hemisphere. The tallest building in the U.S. certainly stands out when looking at a map of the city. Lightning strikes for 2015-2020 are fairly widely spaced, with the exception of One World Trade Center, the Empire State Building (which was struck about 50 times), and a few tall buildings across the Hudson River in Jersey City, New Jersey, were hit, too.

Source details

Analysis Breakdown

True/False Spectrum (8.5)Source Credibility (8.0)Bias Assessment (7.0)Contextual Integrity (8.0)Content Coherence (8.5)Expert Consensus (8.0)80%

How to read the breakdown

Weakest areas
Independence7.0/10Source reliability8.0/10
  • Truth: how well sources support the core claim.
  • Source reliability: whether the sources have a strong track record.
  • Independence: whether coverage looks one-sided or recycled.
  • Context: missing details (timeframe, definitions, scope) that change meaning.
  • Tip: if graders disagree, rely more on the summary + sources than the single number.

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Methodology